Sunday, October 25, 2020

Zeta - Tropical Storm Zeta Number 28 - Will The Forecasters Fail Again On The 5-Day Forecast?

By: Leonard Lenny Vasbinder

October 25, 2020, at 5 p.m.

UPDATED October 25, 2020, at 11 p.m.

UPDATED October 26, 2020, at 9:30 a.m.

UPDATED - Tuesday, October 27, 2020, at 9:00 A.M

UPDATED - Tuesday, October 27, 2020, at 11:00 P.M.

UPDATED - Wednesday, October 28, 2020, at 9:00 A.M.

(To be updated at least daily until landfall.)

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***** Zeta was ONLY forecast to be a tropical storm BUT the forecasters did seem to get that wrong. As of the Wednesday morning update, they now have Zeta as a Cat-1 and becoming a weak Cat-2 by 1 p.m. on Wednesday, October 28, 2020. *****

Will the forecasters fail again on the 5-day forecast, which is actually only a 4-day forecast as of the beginning of this report.

The first image is from the National Oceanic & Atmospheric Administration (NOAA), National Weather Services (NWS), and the National Hurricane Center (NHC) website.  https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/refresh/graphics_at3+shtml/212827.shtml?cone#contents

The second image is from Weather Underground which is basically the same info as above but the map is more interactive and can be zoomed in, etc.  https://www.wunderground.com/hurricane/atlantic/2020/tropical-storm-zeta

The third image is from the South Florida Water Management District for the Spaghetti Maps.  https://www.sfwmd.gov/weather-radar/hurricane-model-plots  The fourth image is ZOOMED in on the third image.

Brevard Times also updates their story with most of the below information.  http://www.brevardtimes.com/2020/10/noaa-tropical-storm-zeta-track-spaghetti-models/

The spaghetti maps have it hitting anywhere from the Texas/Louisiana (TX/LA) border to Alabama's (AL) coastline.  Let's see how they do for this Gulf storm.  The forecasters have been 100% WRONG so far this year on Gulf of Mexico storms -- at least for the 5-day forecast.  They usually get better on the 3-day and 2-day forecasts but have been pretty bad on those as well.

It seems like almost every storm starts out with a track heading to New Orleans since that seems to get the best fearmonger ratings.




UPDATE - October 25, 2020, at 10:00 PM CST -- 

Well, it's just six hours later and the forecast has changed. Not by much but TS Zeta is now forecast to make landfall further west of New Orleans.  At 5:00 PM CST, Zeta was forecast to make landfall almost directly below New Orleans.

Here is a ZOOM of the 5 PM map followed by a ZOOM of the 11 PM map. The 5 PM map shows the track skirting the eastern edge of Lake Pontchartrain while the 11 PM map has the track skirting the western edge of Lake Pontchartrain -- a distance of almost 40 miles.



UPDATE - Monday, October 26, 2020, at 9:30 a.m.

From 5 p.m. on October 25, 2020, until 8 a.m. on October 26, 2020, the forecasters have changed the track in a big way two times.  As noted above, they moved the track from the east side of Lake Pontchartrain to the west side of Lake Pontchartrain, and now, as of 8 a.m. on Monday, they have moved the track back to the east side of Lake Pontchartrain but even further east according to the Weather Underground track which has the track skirting the mouth of the Mississippi River and then making landfall on the Mississippi coast. The Spaghetti Maps have also shifted to the east. 

See maps and ZOOM images below.









UPDATE - Tuesday, October 27, 2020, at 9:00 A.M -- 

This morning updates, according to the NOAA National Hurricane Center have Zeta on a track to make landfall in the South Louisiana Gulf Coast, SSE of New Orleans, then tracking to the LA/MS border.  Weather Underground (WU), which in the past has followed along with the NOAA National Hurricane Center, has veered from the course and has been projecting its own path for this storm.  WU has Zeta making landfall closer to the mouth of the Mississippi River, crossing Port Sulphur, then heading to the MS Gulf Coast, making landfall again just east of Gulfport, MS, around 80 miles east of New Orleans.





The spaghetti maps aren't really relevant any longer and they have all tightened up on the Eastern New Orleans to Mississippi Gulf Coast area.  Two of the tracks have Zeta heading further west towards the Baton Rouge, LA area.




UPDATE Tuesday, October 27, 2020, at 11 p.m. -- 

Zeta is still forecast to come onshore south of New Orleans but heading in a Northwest trajectory so Zeta is tracking towards Slidell to the Mississippi Gulf Coast for its second landfall.

Maybe, just maybe, they're getting this one right after dismal failures on the 5-day forecasts for the previous Gulf hurricanes this year (was it six or seven?)





UPDATE - Wednesday, October 28, 2020, at 9:00 A.M. -- 

Well, there's an old saying that even a blind squirrel finds a nut once in a while and it looks like the forecasters finally got a 5-day forecast pretty close.  Zeta isn't making a direct hit on New Orleans but is skirting just to the east according to the NOAA National Hurricane Center and even further east according to Weather Underground (WU).

Usually, WU mirrors what the NOAA-NHC is putting out but for Zeta, WU had slightly different tracking information with almost every updated forecast. We will see in a few hours which track was correct.







Next UPDATE planned for Wednesday, October 28, 2020, PM after actual landfall --






That Face You Make When Kamala Harris Is Giving You A Blowjob -- Funny Meme Blocked By Facebook Wussies (With a P)

October 25, 2020

By: Leonard Lenny Vasbinder

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Once again, the wussies (with a P) at #Fakebook have taken down a funny meme.  It's a shame that a meme maker has to spend so much time making the funny meme only to have a bunch of wussies (with a P) block it because it is considered "bullying" by #Fakebook. 

Here is what I saw when I signed into #Fakebook this morning. The warning says "2 of your posts..." but it looks like the same post to me.  I guess two separate wussies (with a P) at #Fakebook were working on blocking my post at the same time. That's how you know you're good!  :D :D :D :D :D

Here are the details -- 




When I clicked "Continue" on the last image, #Fakebook glitched out and closed the series of their wussified (with a P) standards -- but this pretty much shows what a bunch of PUSSIES they are!



Wednesday, October 21, 2020

MeteoBlue Compared To Weather Underground For Daily Forecast Information

By: Leonard Lenny Vasbinder

October 21, 2020

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Since I have an off-grid solar system, I like to know how much sun I will be getting each day so I will know if I should be more stingy with my power use or if I'll have to plug into the grid, or when RV'ing, have to run my generator.

Obviously, where I am located in the New Orleans burbs, I pretty much have sun from 8 a.m. to 6 p.m. during the Fall/Winter and a couple hours more during the Spring/Summer but I also use MeteoBlue Weather and Weather Underground for forecasts because they both give information about how much actual sun I'll be getting that day and included in the 7-10 day forecasts.  

Here is MeteoBlue's screenshot. Besides all of the usual weather info, there is the Sun icon with how many hours of sun each day.  For Wednesday, it shows "Sun Icon 7 h" for seven hours of sun.  The next day is only four hours, then zero hours, etc.  I'm presuming they are factoring in the cloud cover, rain, etc.


















Here is the Weather Underground 10-day forecast.  While it doesn't show an actual time for how much sun, there is the bottom graph that shows how much cloud cover, the chance of rain, etc. that they forecast with the gray color on the graph indicating clouds.



























Hope this helps some other off-grid solar system users.


Sunday, October 18, 2020

Tuesday, October 13, 2020

Another Funny Meme That Facebook Blocks -- #Fakebook

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I thought I did a post on this one but I don't see it now.



Saturday, October 10, 2020

Where Did That Fly Come From?

After examining all of the high-definition video footage from the Vice-Presidential debate, they finally figured it out.  




Wednesday, October 07, 2020

In Fakebook Jail again for another funny meme! LOL

October 7, 2020

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Fakebook says this is bullying and put me in Fakebook Jail for 30 days.  She's running for V-P of America. If she can't handle a funny-assed meme, she should drop out now! 


 I'm guessing Fakebook would put me in Fakebook Jail for this next one too!  LOL



Sunday, October 04, 2020

Hurricane Delta - was Potential Tropical Cyclone (PTC) 26 a/k/a PTC Delta 5-Day Forecast -- Will They Get This One Right? (Updated Daily)

 

Editorial By: Leonard Lenny Vasbinder

October 04, 2020

Updated - October 05, 2020

Updated - October 06, 2020

Updated - October 07, 2020

Updated - October 09, 2020

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So far this year, the weather forecasters have been nearly pathetic in their forecasting the tracks of tropical storms and hurricanes. They have been 100% wrong on the 5-day forecast.  They have also been mostly wrong on the 4-day and 3-day forecasts.  They have been a little more accurate on the 2-day forecast but several times, even got those wrong. 

So, how will they do with this late-season storm?  Hopefully, they will be wrong again since the local weather people are almost giddy with excitement that this one will be coming to New Orleans, Louisiana. Although the models have it going from the Texas-Mexico border to the Alabama Gulf Coast.  One model has it still in the Gulf at the 5-day mark and heading towards the Florida Gulf Coast.

Here are the spaghetti models for the 5-day forecast, dated October 04, 2020, at 8:00 p.m. EDT.

Here is the Weather Underground tracking model as of October 04, 2020, at 8:00 p.m. EDT., heading straight to New Orleans as a Category-2 on October 09, 2020, at 1:00 p.m.  The cone of uncertainty goes from the Texas-Louisiana border to the Alabama-Florida border.  Weather Underground basically takes the National Weather Service (NHC - NOAA) information and applies it to their map format.





I will be updating this article at least once a day. Now let's see if they get this one right or wrong?  If I was a betting man, I'd bet they are wrong since they are wrong 95% of the time on the 5-day forecasts concerning storms in the Gulf of Mexico.


Nine hours after their first oopsie, or 12 hours from the first 5-day forecast and they have changed things again. Basically, every time they change the forecast, they are admitting that they were wrong on the previous forecast -- right?  Here is the October 5, 2020, 8 a.m. EDT forecast map.

UPDATE October 06, 2020 -- 

While Delta is forecast to strengthen up to a Cat-4, the track now brings it over the Yucatan peninsula where it will drop down to a Cat-3, then possibly strengthen to a Cat-4 before crossing cooler Gulf waters where it is forecast to diminish to a Cat-2 and make landfall late Friday night, October 09, 2020, into early Saturday morning, October 10, 2020.  The latest track shows Delta making landfall south of Baton Rouge, Louisiana, then heading North-Northeast crossing between Baton Rouge and New Orleans.



The spaghetti models have also changed, moving Delta further west towards the Baton Rouge, LA area, with a couple of tracks showing Delta heading as far west as the Lake Charles, LA area -- which is still recovering from Cat-4 Hurrican Laura.



UPDATE October 07, 2020 --

Well, the hurricane and weather forecasters are making this too easy for me.  As I wrote about a few days ago, and many times in the past, they are WRONG 95% of the time on the 5-day tracking forecast for Gulf hurricanes.  They have been 100% WRONG this year and Hurricane Delta is another in their long list of failures.

I'll be updating my article in a little while.  Just three days ago, they had Delta heading straight to New Orleans and now it is forecast to make landfall on the Gulf coast between Lake Charles and Lafayette over 150 miles to the west of their original tracking forecast.

Why don't they just admit that they cannot do 5-day forecasts instead of causing all this anxiety and panic-shopping for people?

My advice?  Just report the 5-day, 4-day, and 3-day cone without trying to give an actual track so people can do like I do and look at the actual maps, spaghetti models, etc. and make informed choices for themselves.

Compare the next three images to the images from October 04, 2020, to see just how bad they were.




UPDATE - October 09, 2020 --

They were wrong AGAIN!!!

If you look above, the October 04, 2020, 5-day spaghetti models were all wrong.  By October 06, 2020, two of the spaghetti models, the orange triangle and orange square were far more accurate than the other 15 models. By October 07, 2020, the other 15 started moving further west but still had another 50+ miles to go.

These same so-called experts who cannot get a hurricane forecast correct just 5-days out somehow think they can predict climate change 10, 20, 50, and 100 years out.  SMH!!!

Here are the latest maps.




Final Update - October 09, 2020 @ 641pm -- Delta made landfall south of Lake Charles, Louisiana, as a Category-2 and is expected to slow down to a Cat-1, then a Tropical Storm while still in Southern Louisiana. 




Thursday, September 24, 2020

Things that make you go hmmmmm!

According to reports, Ruth Bader Ginsburg's (RBG) law clerks served as the pallbearers for carrying her casket.  According to this picture, there are seven males and one female carrying RBG's casket.  I thought she was all about women's rights -- then why does she only have ONE women law clerk out of eight????

Well, I guess three of the men could self-identify as women so it would be 50%????


Well, I could be a little wrong. This image shows the African American (AA) person across from the white woman is possibly a woman also. But it still means only TWO out of EIGHT are women and only TWO out of EIGHT are AA.


This report in USA Today claims that the SCOTUS law clerks are overwhelmingly male and white "just like 20 years ago."


Saturday, September 12, 2020

Tropical Storm Sally -- Here We Go Again With The Pathetic Fearmongering Forecasting -- I Hope They Learn (Updated Daily)

 

Editorial By: Leonard Lenny Vasbinder

September 12, 2020

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I'm already hearing from friends who are being scared that the storm is coming to New Orleans or even Baton Rouge.  I guess they watch their local news where the forecasters are already trying to scare the crap out of people in Louisiana. The weather people do this to fearmonger the hell out of any storms within five days or more, just to keep people watching the TV for advertising revenue purposes.

The spaghetti models have it going all over the place with only one out of 10 models coming towards New Orleans and eight heading towards the MS/AL/FL Gulf Coast and one meandering off west.

(Above image from - https://www.fox13news.com/news/tropical-storm-sally-forms-off-florida-coast)

The three-to-four day forecast, according to the Weather Underground website, which is usually the same as the National Hurricane Center (see below), shows it heading towards the MS Gulf Coast.


2020-0913-0800 UPDATE --

It looks like they were wrong at 5pm last night as the new forecast has the storm strengthening to a Cat-2 hurricane and making landfall about 100 miles further west, in Louisiana, with the track coming right over New Orleans.  Will it continue to move further west?


2020-0913-1800 UPDATE - 

According to the 10-day forecast from Weather Underground, the eye of TS Sally will be crossing over Harvey, LA at 2pm on Tuesday. The wind speed goes from 40 mph to almost zero and then back up to 40mph according to this snip. See near the bottom of the below image. The wind direction also goes from one direction to the other direction as the eye crosses.


2020-0914 1300 (1 p.m.) UPDATE -- WTF???

The forecasters were wrong again with their last update and now it's heading even further east but WTF is that discombobulation of nonsense in the middle of the map???

I think that is their way of saying, "We don't really know where the F this is going!"


2020-0914 2200 (10 p.m.) UPDATE -- 

Well, the forecasters are either wrong now or they've been wrong the past couple of days???

The track is now heading into the Alabama (AL) Gulf Coast -- after they've been saying it was heading to the MS Gulf Coast, then New Orleans, and now more than 100 miles east of New Orleans.



2020-0915 2300 (11 p.m.) UPDATE --

Forget all the previously WRONG forecasts.  Now, Sally is heading to Pensacola FL.



I hope the local news and weather stations eventually start giving the facts instead of doing their typical fearmongering with the forecast but until they do, I'll continue to write my thoughts on them.


Wednesday, September 09, 2020

BREAKING NEWS -- City Of New Orleans Mayor "Can't Tell" Cantrell Announces Eradication Of The City Of New Orleans

 By: Leonard Lenny Vasbinder

September 9, 2010

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BREAKING NEWS -- City Of New Orleans Mayor "Can't Tell" Cantrell Announces Eradication Of The City Of New Orleans since she says that all blight will be eradicated.  This means no more streets will exist in New Orleans!!!


MAYOR CANTRELL UNDERSCORES IMPORTANCE OF

BLIGHT ERADICATION WITH CINDY PLACE DEMOLITION

Cindy Place 3


NEW ORLEANS — Mayor LaToya Cantrell today joined other officials to mark the demotion of Cindy Place, an abandoned four-building apartment complex in New Orleans East that has been a magnet for a range of criminal activities for many years.

 

“This is progress in the heart of New Orleans East and at a location that has been an armpit in this community for a mighty long time. And it’s one that, as I came into office, I had as a priority to deal with. Blight eradication remains a priority for the City,” said Mayor Cantrell.


[WATCH: Mayor Cantrell discusses Cindy Place, blight reduction]

 

“The Mayor made this commitment early on. We got this done because she wanted to get this done for District E,” said Winston H. Reid, Director, Code Enforcement. “Our thinking is not in a vacuum. We’re doing this by leveraging other resources. There was a lot of illegal dumping out here, and so we partnered with other City agencies to remove this and do this in a comprehensive fashion.”

 

“We need to put a stop to this, but we are going to work together. I’m extremely grateful for the partnership with this administration being at the forefront in addressing beautification and eradicating illegal dumping in areas that really need to get addressed so we can move this district forward,” said Cyndi Nguyen, City Councilmember, District E.

 

For years, Cindy Place has been cited for activities such as drug sales, prostitution and illegal dumping that have adversely impacted the quality of life in the area. Along with this demolition, there will be a comprehensive cleanup within the immediate area. The City sees these efforts as not only stabilizing the area but also priming it for potential redevelopment for affordable housing units.

Tuesday, September 08, 2020

Antifa Guy On Fire Put To Footloose

By: Leonard Lenny Vasbinder

September 8, 2020 

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Copy of news report on LennysNewsAndViews.blogspot.com 

I had a quick Fakebook post for another version of this video but Youtube took down that video. 


After some searching, I found another version -- and here it is.




Sunday, August 30, 2020

What Is A LIBTARD???

 Editorial by:  Leonard Lenny Vasbinder

August 30, 2020

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With help from some of my friends (real and FB), I/we came up with this acronym for LIBTARD.  Following the acronym are a couple of online articles about libtards.

L Limited

I Intelligence

B Bozos (bitches, bastards, bimbos, etc.)

T That

A Are

R Really

D Democrats (dumbasses, etc.)

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http://www.urbandictionary.com/define.php?term=Libtard

TOP DEFINITION 

Libtard

As repetitive as it sounds, it stands for "liberal retard."

A libtard wants to live in a fantasy world (in which life is the way that they WISH IT WAS) as opposed to dealing with life the way it actually is. 

(This explains the religious fervor that many of them demonstrate when it comes to smoking pot). 

The most idealistic libtard envisions a time when science/technology and Socialism will eliminate all poverty, hunger, war, disease, injustice, unemployment, and prejudice. (It is a nice pipe dream but human nature will forever stand in the way of that goal). 

Most libtards subscribe to the notion that "people are basically good", and build their foundation for activism and "improving the human condition" on that faulty premise. Because they deny the facts about human nature, their "reasoning" is diametrically opposite to common sense (blue states vs. red states). 

The reality that people have different initiative levels, are basically selfish, and often work for their own interests before helping others, puts a libtard's panties in a wad. So, when citizens will not voluntarily comply with various libtard prescriptions for "the common good", then laws must be passed, or force used, to MAKE them comply. (It is the gradual path to totalitarianism). 

Likewise, his/her naïve cries of: "can't we all just get along?" and "there is nothing worth dying for" are red flags for anyone with a clue. 

Metaphorically speaking, a libtard is a sheep who thinks that their grasp of diplomatic nuance or metaphysical sensitivity will prevent their flock from being devoured by the world's Islamic/Communist wolves. When America, the sheepdog, responds to wolf attacks, the libtard judges these defensive actions as offensive and wolfish. 

Since libtards are unable to recognize our enemies for what they are, they cannot be trusted to safeguard our future. 

>>>>> 

In a large nutshell, a libtard's goal in life includes one or more of the following: 

--the establishment of a Socialist "utopia" (a.k.a. a global nanny state) 

--"benevolent" totalitarian control of the world's population through any means necessary 

--ever-increasing government micromanagement of private enterprise (a.k.a. clueless meddling) 

--the adoption of laws, treaties and tax regulations that hinder America's competitiveness 

--the usurpation of the legislative process, at all levels, through judicial fiat 

--the filing of specious lawsuits in order to thwart the will of the people (e.g. Calif. Proposition. 187) 

--the promotion of the tyranny of the minority 

--the filing of specious lawsuits to shakedown corporations for cash (under the guise of "social responsibility") 

--the disproportionate taxation of citizens "who have more money than they need" 

--the redistribution of wealth from producers to non-producers (under the guise of "fairness") 

--the banning and confiscation of all privately owned guns (even though it has lead to genocide) 

--the abolition of all private property rights 

--the destruction of all national sovereignty (America first, of course) 

--the destruction of Capitalism 

--the establishment of one religion (with no personal accountability), OR the abolition of all religion 

--the appeasement of Islamic radicals and their American front groups like CAIR (see: Religion of Pieces) 

--the regulation, or banning, of all opposition media (under the guise of "fairness") 

--the appeasement of Communist dictators and their American front groups 

--the further insertion of Socialist ideology and indoctrination into public school curricula 

--the purposeful "dumbing down" of the masses through inane public school curricula and pedagogy 

--mass thought control through "speech codes" and political correctness 

--the further promulgation of the homosexual/pedophile agenda 

--the teaching of HATE (superficially disguised as "Women's Studies", "African Studies", etc.) 

--the legalization of marijuana ("far OUT, man") 

--the establishment of worldwide socialized medicine (under the guise of "fairness") 

--the conservation of the environment over the conservation of the American economy 

--the demonization of attempts to make English America’s national language 

--world peace (which genocidal dictators define as: "the absence of conflict"--dead men cannot resist your brutal oppression) 

--the conservation of the environment over the conservation of humanity 

--the promotion of abortion as birth control, eugenics, and teaching the theory of evolution as fact (even though the 2nd Law of Thermodynamics precludes it from the get-go) 

--the abolition of individual freedom 

--anarchy 

Not surprisingly, there is a thread of anti-Americanism that runs through these ideas. A libtard cannot stomach the idea that America, despite its faults, is the greatest country in the world. As such, he/she sees it as their duty to tarnish the country's current and past image using all available means including cherry-picking facts and using innuendo, half-truths, lies, and fabrications (see: Rathergate). 

Libtards’ actions undermine America's educational system, economy, the criminal justice system, military personnel, sovereignty, security, and freedoms. Meanwhile, they try to fabricate a moral equivalence with rogue nations like China, Iran, North Korea, Cuba, Syria, Somalia, and Sudan. (But don't question their patriotism). 

NOTE TO ALL MALCONTENTS: If America is truly evil, please pick yourself a better country. 

If the health care system in Cuba, Canada or Great Britain is superior to America's, then you are free to leave. If the crime rate in China, North Korea or the Magic Kingdom is so much lower, then you too are free to leave. Not enough hedonism for you? Then try Amsterdam, Bangkok, or Tijuana. 

If life, in general, is better in Sweden, the Netherlands, or Switzerland then WHY are you still here??? You talk big, but you lack the courage of your convictions. So do humanity a favor--shut up and move away. 

Otherwise, get a real job, and get a life, because you obviously have WAY too much time on your hands. 

>>>>> 

Because most libtards are pantheists (New Agers), agnostics, atheists, liberal Jews, liberal Catholics, or have otherwise turned their backs on Jehovah, they lack true spiritual fulfillment. In order to try and fill that void, and "to make a difference", they work for the causes listed above. A pretty complete listing can be found at discoverthenetworks.org. 

A libtard will participate in protests, rallies, marches, bike rides, etc. in a feckless attempt to change whatever supposedly needs changing (see: muckadoo). Their desire to revisit the "glory" days of the '60s is sometimes a driving force. Regardless, the end result is usually the same: nothing actually changes. 

But, since a libtard wants to be rated for his/her good intentions, versus actual results, they leave these activities with a feeling of success "because they have raised awareness" or "let their voices be heard." Post-protest gatherings often feature excessive drinking, drug abuse, and impromptu fornication to celebrate the "victory." 

Because conservatives take responsibility for themselves and their children, have real jobs, undergird the economy, and value their time, their counter-protesting is often negligible. 

It is not that they don't care about their causes; they just understand that 1968 tactics are useless. Likewise, their sense of self-worth does not come from how well they perform at work, or in life, but from a realization that they have been given a good and satisfying destiny that no one can take away. 

With all of this in mind, may we NOW question a libtard's patriotism???

“You are listening to CNN, the Communist News Network.” 

Anchorman: “Good morning, I’m E. Feet Liberal. Our top story, disastrous former mayor of Cleveland, Dennis Kucinich, has been appointed to head the newly created Department of Rainbows, Unicorns, and Dandelions. When told of his appointment, Kucinich remarked, 

‘As former ambassador to the Crab Nebula.

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