Editorial By: Leonard Lenny Vasbinder
September 12, 2020
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I'm already hearing from friends who are being scared that the storm is coming to New Orleans or even Baton Rouge. I guess they watch their local news where the forecasters are already trying to scare the crap out of people in Louisiana. The weather people do this to fearmonger the hell out of any storms within five days or more, just to keep people watching the TV for advertising revenue purposes.
The spaghetti models have it going all over the place with only one out of 10 models coming towards New Orleans and eight heading towards the MS/AL/FL Gulf Coast and one meandering off west.
(Above image from - https://www.fox13news.com/news/tropical-storm-sally-forms-off-florida-coast)
The three-to-four day forecast, according to the Weather Underground website, which is usually the same as the National Hurricane Center (see below), shows it heading towards the MS Gulf Coast.
2020-0913-0800 UPDATE --
It looks like they were wrong at 5pm last night as the new forecast has the storm strengthening to a Cat-2 hurricane and making landfall about 100 miles further west, in Louisiana, with the track coming right over New Orleans. Will it continue to move further west?
2020-0913-1800 UPDATE -
According to the 10-day forecast from Weather Underground, the eye of TS Sally will be crossing over Harvey, LA at 2pm on Tuesday. The wind speed goes from 40 mph to almost zero and then back up to 40mph according to this snip. See near the bottom of the below image. The wind direction also goes from one direction to the other direction as the eye crosses.
2020-0914 1300 (1 p.m.) UPDATE -- WTF???
The forecasters were wrong again with their last update and now it's heading even further east but WTF is that discombobulation of nonsense in the middle of the map???
I think that is their way of saying, "We don't really know where the F this is going!"
2020-0914 2200 (10 p.m.) UPDATE --
Well, the forecasters are either wrong now or they've been wrong the past couple of days???
The track is now heading into the Alabama (AL) Gulf Coast -- after they've been saying it was heading to the MS Gulf Coast, then New Orleans, and now more than 100 miles east of New Orleans.
2020-0915 2300 (11 p.m.) UPDATE --
Forget all the previously WRONG forecasts. Now, Sally is heading to Pensacola FL.
I hope the local news and weather stations eventually start giving the facts instead of doing their typical fearmongering with the forecast but until they do, I'll continue to write my thoughts on them.
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